Thursday, May 12, 2005
Fixing the healthcare system
The United States has the best healthcare system on the planet... if  
you can afford it.  The only way that statement reads even close to  
accurate is with that ellipsis.
We spend as a percentage of our economy the largest proportion of our  
GDP of any industrialized country on earth.  We spend ~17% of our  
economy on healthcare each year.  Our economy is 11.75 Trillion  
dollars.  This means we spend 1.997 Trillion dollars each year on  
healthcare.  The average expenditure of other industrialized nations  
is between 11-12%.  These other all have socialized medicine.  What  
could the US economy do with another Trillion dollars?
Our healthcare system causes, among other things, the following  
problems:
- The 8 trillion dollar liability in Medicaid
- The $1,600/vehicle charge that US automakers incur as a result of  
providing healthcare to its employees / former employees
- Is the number 1 cause of bankruptcy in this country.
- Forces 45 million Americans to live without health insurance
Now market fundamentalists (because really, it is its own kind of  
religion) claim that we have the most efficient system because we use  
the market to allocate resources.  It's true that the market is the  
best known method to allocate resources.  What's not generally  
known, however, is that markets only optimize based on what's  
incentivized.  If corporations provide healthcare, then profits, not  
quality healthcare is what matters
So how do we fix it?
Insurance works because as you increase the number of people covered  
by a plan, the overall percentage of people that are sick at any  
given time falls:
1/N = population risk
Premiums are paid to cover the costs of care for the sick  
population.  The natural conclusion of this is that the more people  
that you have in you system, the lower your risk is.  What could be a  
larger pool that then entire country?
One of the classic criticisms of socialized medicine is the cost:   
Why contain costs if the government is playing for it?  How do we use  
market forces to contain costs and increase innovation?  I propose  
the following:
The government should pick up 90% of the national average cost of any  
given procedure.  The remaining 10% individual obligation should be  
means-tested against the individual.  I also think that we should  
derive some method for incenting personal responsibility for  
healthcare.  Factors include how regularly the individual goes to the  
doctor for preventative care, the trend lines for that individual's  
overall health / fitness.
Why does this work?
The doctors are incented to keep their prices low because consumers  
will move to the lowest cost provider, assuming there's enough of a  
differential.  Additionally, if doctors are able to keep their costs  
below the national average, they are more profitable.
Individuals are incented to stay healthy, to use preventative  
medicine, for both personal quality of life, as well as financial  
reasons.
Next up, tackling drug costs...
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